Ukraine May Have at Least 600,000 HIV-Positive by 2010

Ukraine may have 600,000 HIV-positive patients by 2010, according to Alexander Yaremenko, director of the Ukrainian Institute for Social Research, who spoke Tuesday at a conference in Crimea. His research, carried out for the British Council, found that annual AIDS deaths would reach at least 43,500 people by 2010. The worst projection shows 1 million HIV-positive people by 2010, and an annual death rate of 90,000 people. Ukraine, with a population of 50 million, reported 50,000 HIV-positive as of November 1, and more than 3,000 AIDS patients. However, Yaremenko said the actual number of HIV cases was close to 400,000. Yaremenko said there is every reason to expect that Ukraine's epidemic would develop according to the worst scenario.

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