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No noticed symptoms = lower likelihood of seroconv
#220386 - 12/31/06 04:35 AM
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I've had a nasty experience--a gentleman who was penetrating me (a male) took off the condom and engaged in unprotected sex with me for a couple of minutes. Fortunately, there doesn't seem to have been any ejaculation.
The one-in-five-hundred statistic about the likel;ihood of contracting HIV as a bottom with a top having unprotected sex has been repeated enough for me to have confidence in it. (Other factors doubtless intervene; best for my sanity not to consider them.)
One question, though. The statistics suggest that between 60 and 80% of instances of seroconversion are associated with symptoms of seroconversion, fever and the like. I haven't noticed these symptoms manifest in me. Does this mean that my chances of having caught HIV are reduced accordingly (ie. 20 to 40% out of one-in-five-hundred)?
thanks.
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The CDC places the risk of recepetive anal at 50 in 10,000, which equates out to 2.5 in 500. Not sure where you were getting that 1 in 500 from.
Symptoms or lack of symptoms can tell you anything about your status.
1/3 of the people living with HIV, don't know they even are infected. So yes, people do get infected and either have no symptoms or very mild symptoms.
In the end the only thing that will matter is what your test result says. So playing these odds games won't count for anything.
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"1/3 of the people living with HIV, don't know they even are infected. So yes, people do get infected and either have no symptoms or very mild symptoms."
Yes--that's another side of the statistics I was referencing. Does it follow that if I didn't notice any symptoms, that the chances of having caught HIV are lower than they would have been if I did notice any symptoms?
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In the end the only thing that will matter is what your test result says. So playing these odds games won't count for anything.
The fact is that it's unlikely you became infected, but trying to figure out just how much you were at risk by your symptoms is a useless effort that will only continue to fuel the 'what if's' in your head.
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for this probablity to work you need to find out the statistics of how many people experienced ARS and how many do not.... but then again you could be the unlucky 1 out of 500 (or whichever numbers). I was playing that odd games as well but that DID NOT give me a sense of security because I know the only way to know for sure is to get TESTED. and that statistic 1/3 people don't know they have HIV is probably because they were playing the same probability games and think that they are safe while in fact they are NOT.
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The simple answer is yes your odds are much better in as much as you have not had symptoms. You answered it yourself. It is true upwards to 80% of peoole DO show symptoms. Some never couple them with HIV so they are ignored.
Good luck get a test in 6 weeks let us know. D.J.
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