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Aug 6, 2006

I have read many times that your opinion is most hiv patients can live a normal or near normal life span. but in an article today in webmd news--the article basically said that while treatments are getting better--death rates are not. it further states that people on treatment--9 out of ten will live ten years--- how is this correct? who is right? ten years staying alive on treatment doesn't seem very promising compared to near normal or normal life span

Response from Dr. Young

Thanks for your post.

This topic receives a lot of interest (for good reason).

One of the best recent articles on the subject comes from our good friend, Dr. Frank Palella from Chicago and his analysis of the HOPS cohort in the US. Here's the reference.

I think that people tend to want to over-interpret retrospective data and use them to forecast the future. I'm not sure about your 10 year figure, but remember that in general, these refer to at least 10 years-- not that all will die on the December of the 10th year (clearly an over interpretation).

Death rates have not much improved in the US since ~2000-- this is because the death rates have plummeted. Read Dr. Palella's article; it should provide many of the details that you seek. BY

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